They are assuming that the cards are not
dealt on a 100% random basis. They state that the cards are
dealt according to a very sophisticated algorithm instead of a
fair random number generator.
Why would the poker rooms rig the
game?
The adepts of the “rigged theory” usually
have two types of arguments regarding the reason why poker rooms
would do that:
- In order to increase the pot size, the
players will often receive good pocket cards. This will
stimulate them to rise and the pot will be bigger, resulting in
higher rake. These kinds of statements usually originate from
players who lose with QQ against KK and other similar
situations.
- Weaker players are luckier than better
players. They often get saving cards on flop and river, and a
weak play turns into a big win for them. This happens because it
is in the poker room’s interest to keep players at the tables.
If a weak player keeps losing, he will quit playing. However, a
good player who made many cashouts will still play even if he
loses a little. These arguments come from people who won in the
past and experience a bad period. If they have some bad beats on
the river against lucky straights or flushes, they think it is
because of their cashouts.
Are these arguments solid enough?
Let’s analyze these two situations and see
if the “rigged theory” adepts are right or wrong.
The first one says
poker rooms want to stimulate players to put their money in the
pot in order to create large pots (with higher rake). This is
why they create situations like three players holding high
pocket pairs. With such hand, and a crazy flop, it’s almost
guaranteed that the pot will get big.
I think it is enough to play online poker
for a few hours and you’ll realize this argument is ridiculous.
How many times have you seen this kind of situations? Very few
times… How many times have you seen everybody folding to the
first bet? Lots of times… This means most of the times people
don’t hold crazy pocket pairs, but pure trash. If the poker room
would rig the cards to create higher pots, it would be stupid to
generate extreme situations, when it could simply deliver decent
cards to many people (not monster cards). There is another thing
to be considered when analyzing this theory. At higher stakes,
the rake is capped at a fixed value (usually $3). If the rake is
5%, it is enough to have an $80 pot to reach the maximum rake.
Why would the poker room need to create crazy situations and
have huge pots, when an $80 pots gives the same rake as a $1,000
pot. It makes no sense.
But when it happens to be you the one who
lost all-in with KK against AA, it’s hard to admit that it was
only bad luck.
The second reason
why the poker rooms would rig the game is to help weaker players
win too. This way there would be more players at the tables,
generating higher rake. While this argument may sound solid, it
is enough to know the reality of online poker to understand it
is pure speculation. There are many people who are earning a
living playing online. They constantly win more than they lose,
because they are skilled players (some of them are poker pros).
How would this be possible if the cards would be rigged to help
weaker player beat the sharks? If the “cashouts theory” would be
true (people who make cashouts will receive weaker cards and
will be unlucky) these people would not be able to win on a
regular basis. However, it is well known that they do.
It is very easy to say cards are rigged when
you experience a losing streak. Maybe you just had bad luck, or
you played bad. Good players always try to find their mistakes
and improve their game, instead of trying to find someone to
blame for their lack of success.
Some things to be considered before
accusing online poker of being rigged
- Many poker professionals play online, to
win some extra cash. Don’t you think that these players would
realize if the game was rigged? Would they still be playing in a
rigged environment? I don’t think so. Gus Hansen (one of the
best poker players in the world) declared that he lost one
million dollars during two months of playing online. Do you
think he accused online poker to be rigged? No. He knew he had
just been unlucky and didn’t play well enough. This is why he
continued playing and recovered his loss in only one week.
- Unlucky bad beats usually happen to better
than average players. Luck will always help the weaker players.
If a better player wins, it usually wins with no luck involved.
If you hold a better hand and raise, and your newbie opponent
calls you, there are only two possibilities: you will win
because you played better, or you will lose because he got lucky
on the turn/river. Weak players will count on luck in many more
situations than good players. This is why they will have more
lucky wins.
- Unusual situations are much easier to
remember than normal ones. Why are the Murphy’s Laws so well
known? It is obvious that they are not scientific things, but
still seem so real. This is because when something frustrating
and unusual happens you will always notice it. However, when all
things happen as they should you don’t notice, because it’s just
normal.
- Many players say that they get much more
bad beats online than in brick and mortar casinos. Although it
may seem weird, it is very normal. There are two reasons for
this. The players who go to play in a real casino are people who
know poker. Online are many fishes that play for fun, and
because of their weak play they can create situations when luck
is their last hope. And sometimes luck helps them. The second
reason this situation appears is because of the speed of online
play compared to real poker. You play many more hands/hour
online than in a real casino. The more you play the more
sensational hands you’ll see.
Poker Networks, the ultimate proof
that online poker is not rigged
Many important poker rooms are part of poker
networks. What is a poker network? It is a shared database of
players from different poker rooms who play at the same tables.
The poker client is developed by the network administrator, and
customized by the poker rooms. This way, poker players from
different poker rooms will play against each other. These
networks have developed because it is very hard to create a
poker room with many players, and if there is not enough action
at the tables, people won’t join a poker room. But being part of
a network is very convenient for a new poker room. All it has to
do is to recruit players, who will be able to play at any stakes
against many opponents just from the beginning. The poker rooms
will earn their profits from the rake generated by their
players. So, if a poker room has good players who win on a
regular basis it will gain more money. This is why it is in the
interest of the poker room to have winning players. Some poker
rooms invested money in training their players, offering poker
books or providing detailed courses to help their players learn
poker. It is obvious that this poker rooms will not accept to
have their players cheated, because if their players are
cheated, they are cheated too.
The most important poker networks are Ongame
Network (Poker
Room,
Euro Poker,
Betsson Poker,
Bwin Poker), iPoker Network (Carlos
Poker,
Bet365 Poker,
Fair Poker,
Noble Poker,
Windows Poker), Microgaming (Canbet
Poker,
Captain Cook’s Poker,
Doyle’s Room,
Unibet Poker,
Poker Rewards), Cake Poker Network (Cake
Poker), Merge Gaming (Carbon
Poker), 888 Network (Pacific
Poker,
Lucky Ace Poker). Microgaming, Cake Poker Network and Merge
Gaming are still accepting players from United States.
My opinion regarding this issue